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Brent traded at $102.28 early Friday after Thursday’s sharp rebound.
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Chinese refiners have reportedly suspended fuel exports to most destinations.
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Renewed US-Iran tensions threaten the recovery in Middle Eastern supplies.
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Nigeria’s fuel costs depend on refined-product prices as well as crude.
October 02, (THEWILL) – Oil held above $102 a barrel on Friday, October 2, as recovering Middle Eastern supplies competed with fears of renewed military conflict and restrictions on fuel exports.
Brent traded at $102.28 by 4.50 am Nigerian time, down three cents, while US West Texas Intermediate stood at $92.68, down 19 cents. Both were intraday prices reported by Reuters.
The steadier opening followed a sharp reversal on Thursday, when Brent’s December contract finished at $102.31, gaining $4.28, or 4.37%. WTI closed at $92.87, up 2.71%.
Fuel Export Curbs Complicate the Recovery
Chinese refiners suspended October fuel exports to destinations outside Hong Kong and Macau, Reuters reported on Thursday, citing four people briefed on the matter. PetroChina cancelled some planned petrol and jet-fuel cargoes.
The sources said it was unclear if export permission would resume after China’s holiday ends on October 7. China’s National Development and Reform Commission had not responded to Reuters’ request for comment. The restriction concerns refined fuels, rather than a halt to Chinese crude imports.
Military developments added another source of uncertainty. The Wall Street Journal reported an additional US aircraft carrier deployment and up to 10,000 more troops heading to the Middle East. Its Friday market coverage identified renewed tensions as a threat to energy supplies.
Those concerns persist despite improvements in physical shipments. Saudi Arabia resumed tanker loadings at Yanbu on Tuesday after restarting its East-West Pipeline, according to Reuters.
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For Nigerian fuel buyers, the developments illustrate why watching crude prices alone can give an incomplete picture of costs.
Crude must first be refined into petrol, diesel and other usable products. More crude reaching the market cannot immediately replace finished fuel withheld by exporters or production lost at refineries.
The US Energy Information Administration identifies crude costs, refining, distribution, marketing and taxes as components of petrol prices. It also explains that stored fuel helps cushion short-term shortages. These mechanisms help explain how pressure on finished-fuel supplies can persist even when crude shipments improve.
The implication for Nigeria is a risk to replacement costs, not proof that filling stations have already raised prices. Establishing a local increase requires fresh refinery, depot and retail quotations, alongside the exchange rate used to finance supplies.
For businesses budgeting for transport or generator fuel, the useful numbers to follow are the prices suppliers actually quote for the next delivery, as well as the price of Brent.
Joy Onuorah is a business journalist and brand communications specialist covering financial markets, artificial intelligence, digital economy, and the ideas reshaping business across Africa and the global market. Beyond her reporting for TheWill, Joy uses brand strategy, storytelling, copywriting, and high-value SEO to help brands build lasting market authority.
